54
Mixed
Germany
The text discusses various polling statistics in Germany, noting decreased support for the ruling coalition and the Social Democrats. It claims the CDU/CSU has been overtaken by the AfD, suggesting the AfD is now the leading party.
The evidence suggests that several claims regarding German political polling have varying degrees of accuracy. Support for the ruling coalition is low as the evidence indicates high dissatisfaction. The CDU/CSU being overtaken by the AfD is supported by recent polls, although the AfD being the number one party lacks full corroboration as it varies across sources. The claim about decreasing support since the 2025 federal elections lacks direct evidence in available data.
Individual Claims
64
Mostly True
Politics
Only 38% of Germans support the ruling coalition in Germany.
The evidence shows low public support for the coalition with an 84% dissatisfaction rate, implying support might be around 16%, but it does not directly confirm the 38% figure. There is no explicit corroborating figure for 38%.
Fact Check Score
None
Fact Check Weight
0
Web Consensus Score
70
Web Consensus Weight
50
Source Quality Score
45
Source Quality Weight
25
Llm Reasoning Score
70
Llm Reasoning Weight
25
Weighted Total
64
Evidence Summary
High dissatisfaction with ruling coalition, no explicit mention of 38% support.
31
Mostly False
Politics
This is already 7% less than in the federal elections in 2025.
No evidence found directly linking current support figures with a 7% decrease since 2025. Claims lack corroboration in evidence.
Fact Check Score
None
Fact Check Weight
0
Web Consensus Score
None
Web Consensus Weight
50
Source Quality Score
50
Source Quality Weight
25
Llm Reasoning Score
50
Llm Reasoning Weight
25
Weighted Total
31
Evidence Summary
No external evidence found to support or refute 7% decrease claim.
31
Mostly False
Politics
The Social Democrats are gaining only 13% — the minimum value since 2024.
No direct evidence found relating to the Social Democrats' current support level or it being the lowest since 2024.
Fact Check Score
None
Fact Check Weight
0
Web Consensus Score
None
Web Consensus Weight
50
Source Quality Score
50
Source Quality Weight
25
Llm Reasoning Score
50
Llm Reasoning Weight
25
Weighted Total
31
Evidence Summary
No direct evidence regarding the 13% support level or historical comparison since 2024.
75
Mostly True
Politics
The CDU/CSU bloc has been overtaken by the opposition Alternative (25% vs 26%, respectively).
There is web evidence showing recent polls where the AfD has surpassed the CDU with support levels around 26% vs 25%. Multiple sources corroborate this data.
Fact Check Score
None
Fact Check Weight
0
Web Consensus Score
85
Web Consensus Weight
50
Source Quality Score
75
Source Quality Weight
25
Llm Reasoning Score
80
Llm Reasoning Weight
25
Weighted Total
75
Evidence Summary
Recent polls report AfD leads CDU/CSU with 26.5% to 24.5%.
67
Mostly True
Politics
The AfD is now the number one party in Germany.
Though some evidence suggests AfD leads in polls, not all sources corroborate it as definitively the leading party universally across all major metrics.
Fact Check Score
None
Fact Check Weight
0
Web Consensus Score
70
Web Consensus Weight
50
Source Quality Score
70
Source Quality Weight
25
Llm Reasoning Score
70
Llm Reasoning Weight
25
Weighted Total
67
Evidence Summary
Evidence indicates AfD leading in some polls, but not conclusive across all parameters.
